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Yemen's Failed Truce: The Potential Impact On The Maritime Domain

On 02 October 22, the deadline for extending the UN-brokered truce agreement between the Houthi rebels and the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen was missed. Since first coming into effect in April 22, the truce was renewed twice, most recently in August 22 for a further two months. During its implementation, Yemen has witnessed the longest period of relative calm since the country’s civil war began in 2014. During which there has been a significant decline in casualties, increased fuel imports into the Houthi-controlled Red Sea port of Hudaydah, and the resumption of some commercial flights to and from Sana’a airport.

As it did in August, the UN is reported to have pushed for a six-month extension of the agreement, as well as an expansion of its terms. Unlike last time however, both sides failed to agree on a two-month extension without any additional terms. Reporting suggests that the coalition was open to a repeat of last round’s terms, however the Houthi’s are believed to have sought additional concessions.

Read on to access our analysis of the potential impact on the maritime domain.

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